With the Oscars upon us again, the time has come for the world’s most famous industry retreat. Hoping to continue the upward trajectory of last year’s awards show, the producers of this year’s back-patting fest have made some notable changes. The most famous, of course, was the decision to allow 10 Best Picture Nominees instead of 5. This didn’t seem to change anything, as it has yet again come down to two real contenders.
This year, we’ve decided to put up predictions which we will keep up and compare to the winners as they are announced. And when I see “we”, I mean my friend Luci, who is an Oscar hawk. She’s got a Nate Silver-level of understanding on these matters, and those of us who attend her kick-ass Oscar party know that entering her Oscar pool is a fool’s bet – yet we do it anyhow.
So after a lengthy call discussing the various nominees, here are the predictions for the winners:
(WINNERS ANNOUNCED IN BOLD – CHECK BACK REGULARLY):
Best Picture: Avatar WINNER: HURT LOCKER
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow – The Hurt Locker (WINNER)
Best Actress: Meryl Streep – Julie and Julia (neck and neck with Bullock. But, as Luci says, “It’s been almost 22 years since Streep was awarded something (For Sophie’s Choice), so this could be the year she breaks her also-ran streak.”) WINNER: SANDRA BULLOCK
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges – Crazy Heart (WINNER)
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique – Precious (WINNER)
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz – Inglorious Basterds (WINNER)
Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino – Inglorious Basterds WINNER: MARK BOAL – HURT LOCKER
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner – Up In The Air WINNER: PRECIOUS
Best Cinematography: Robert Richardson – Inglorious Basterds. (Special Luci note: If you’re in a betting pool, this could be the category for an upset. The White Ribbon, which is also nominated in the Best Foreign category, could steal it away. It’s rare for a foreign film to show up in Best Cinematography, so it could have a lot of hidden support).WINNER: Neither of what we thought.Mauro Fiore for Avatar takes it.
Best Editing: Hurt Locker (WINNER)
Best Sound Editing: Hurt Locker (WINNER)
Best Sound Mixing: Avatar WINNER: HURT LOCKER
Best Foreign Film: The Secret In Their Eyes (WINNER).
Best Art Direction: Avatar (WINNER)
Best Visual FX: Avatar (WINNER)
Best Costumes: Young Victoria (WINNER)
Best Make Up: Star Trek (WINNER)
Best Documentary: The Cove (WINNER)
Best Original Score: Up (WINNER)
Best Original Song: The Weary Kind – Crazy Heart (WINNER)
Best Animated Feature: UP (WINNER)
And this is the “Wild Guess” section as neither Luci or anyone else I spoke with could say which of these would win:
Best Animated Short: A Matter of Loaf and Death WINNER: LOGORAMA
Best Short Film: Kavi WINNER: THE NEW TENANTS
Best Documentary Short: The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant. WINNER: MUSIC BY PRUDENCE
So there we have it. Think these are off? Well then sound off and give your predictions for who will win big and who will get the wammy.